News from financial industry
Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam when filled will have capacity to hold 74bn cubic metres of water, more than the volume of the entire Blue Nile. Makes Egypt nervous about water supply in a drought. That is from Adam Tooze.
The post Ethiopia dam fact of the day appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
In the United States that is, link here, photo here: In other words, lockdown and shelter at home have limited some of the otherwise risky activities that young people engage in. Excess deaths more generally seem to have reached a normal range, albeit at the upper end of that range: I wouldn’t want to call […]
The post Excess deaths are down — below average — for those younger than eighteen appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
#COVID19 mortality in UK hospital patients has been falling steadily from >6% in March to ~1% now, with similar trends elsewhere. The reasons behind this pattern remain unclear, but #COVID19 Infection Fatality Rates will likely have to be revised downward. https://tinyurl.com/ybnlmkdz That is from Francis Balloux. And again here is the source link. And please […]
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To be clear, I do not favor building the Trump Wall (at all), still I am willing to present relevant evidence when it appears. Here is the abstract of a new paper by Benjamin Feigenberg: This paper estimates the impact of the US-Mexico border fence on US-Mexico migration by exploiting variation in the timing and […]
The post Do walls work? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
It goes to the COVIN Working Group for their paper “Adaptive control of COVID: Local, gradual, and trigger-based exit from lockdown in India.” As India ends its lockdown, the team, led by Malani, has developed a strategy to inform state policy using what is called an adaptive control strategy. This adaptive control strategy has three […]
The post Covid-19 India prize appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
From an anonymous reader: You consume more economic research and data than anyone I can think of and you always ask great questions, so I wanted to ask: Do you have any experience working with census data and any thoughts about the kind of data, timeliness of data, etc, that you think is lacking from […]
The post Question about the Census and Census data appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
It is about time someone put this together, here are some summary conclusions: Nearly all SSEs in the database — more than 97% — took place indoors The great majority of SSEs happened during flu season in that location The vast majority took place in settings where people were essentially confined together, indoors, for a […]
The post Database of 1,100 superspreading events appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Do political and social features of states help explain the evolving distribution of reported Covid-19 deaths? We identify national-level political and social characteristics that past research suggests may help explain variation in a society’s ability to respond to adverse shocks. We highlight four sets of arguments—focusing on (1) state capacity, (2) political institutions, (3) political […]
The post Political and social correlates of Covid-19 mortality appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
We use the synthetic control method to analyze the effect of face masks on the spread of Covid-19 in Germany. Our identification approach exploits regional variation in the point in time when face masks became compulsory. Depending on the region we analyse, we find that face masks reduced the cumulative number of registered Covid-19 cases […]
The post A new study of face masks appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
It is not just researchers and co-authors who benefit from having names close to the beginning of the alphabet: The names of traders should not matter if information is symmetric across traders. By examining export data from Chinese customs, we find persistent lexicographic biases in firm-level export records. Firms whose names are lexicographically earlier in […]
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