Pondering Elevated Wisconsin Covid-19 Infection Rates Resulting from a Successful Judgment for Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty

Striking down Governor Evers’s mask mandate in the name of process means fatalities almost assuredly must be higher than otherwise. From AP today: A conservative law firm asked a judge on Monday to immediately put an end to Wisconsin’s mask mandate, arguing that Democratic Gov. Tony Evers doesn’t have the authority to issue such an […]

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August Wisconsin Employment: Continued Slow Recovery?

My guess, based on a first differences specification of Wisconsin employment on national, in logs, 2019-2020M07. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment in Wisconsin, June release (brown), August release (brown), Economic Outlook forecast of June (teal), author’s forecast based on national employment (brown box), in 000’s, s.a. Source: BLS, DWD, Wisconsin Economic Outlook (June 2020), and […]

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July Wisconsin Employment Report Released

Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment in Wisconsin, June release (brown), July release (pink), Economic Outlook forecast of June (teal), author’s forecast based on national employment (brown box), in 000’s, s.a. Source: BLS, Wisconsin Economic Outlook (June 2020), and author’s calculations. Nonfarm payroll employment grew 30.5 thousand from a downwardly revised June level (1.1% growth, not […]

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July Wisconsin Employment

DWD will release July numbers tomorrow. Here’s my guess for employment. First, what we know now. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment in the US (blue), in Wisconsin (brown), in logs, 2020M02=0. Source: BLS, author’s calculations. I can use the historical relationship between the national and Wisconsin series (2019-2020M06) in first differences to forecast July employment. […]

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